Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.482116 0.557060 0.638912 0.734827 0.844017 0.964323 1.106796
2025-07-20 0.374079 0.480684 0.608778 0.773431 0.978819 1.225877 1.544839
2025-07-27 0.308564 0.428895 0.583967 0.797144 1.081077 1.444531 1.943068
2025-08-03 0.259192 0.384628 0.555932 0.804773 1.154365 1.624893 2.302365
2025-08-10 0.219680 0.345404 0.526086 0.801495 1.206715 1.776164 2.630764
2025-08-17 0.187276 0.310452 0.495887 0.791125 1.243939 1.905268 2.934964
2025-08-24 0.161807 0.281718 0.470145 0.782382 1.279759 2.032001 3.242812
2025-08-31 0.137573 0.251090 0.436943 0.756864 1.285084 2.110698 3.481638
2025-09-07 0.129654 0.246499 0.444694 0.797191 1.397293 2.361854 4.006288
2025-09-14 0.112389 0.222986 0.417627 0.775718 1.404898 2.445639 4.268419
2025-09-21 0.097765 0.202139 0.392465 0.754169 1.409130 2.522458 4.522748
2025-09-28 0.085923 0.184848 0.371484 0.737331 1.419031 2.608090 4.796451
2025-10-05 0.079417 0.177414 0.368348 0.753707 1.491304 2.809248 5.289762
2025-10-12 0.075973 0.175813 0.376269 0.791963 1.607635 3.097827 5.960867
2025-10-19 0.071301 0.170926 0.377029 0.816100 1.699074 3.347948 6.580623
2025-10-26 0.065527 0.162775 0.370112 0.823889 1.759090 3.543953 7.114175
2025-11-02 0.059428 0.152976 0.358504 0.820538 1.796147 3.698562 7.579773
2025-11-09 0.053442 0.142550 0.344263 0.809938 1.817104 3.823051 7.995593
2025-11-16 0.048263 0.133298 0.331488 0.801002 1.840326 3.953020 8.430366
2025-11-23 0.042507 0.121720 0.311994 0.774917 1.824374 4.002705 8.707899
2025-11-30 0.041605 0.122558 0.321643 0.816138 1.958082 4.366985 9.647188
2025-12-07 0.037024 0.112906 0.304967 0.794190 1.949577 4.434924 9.980101
2025-12-14 0.032948 0.103997 0.289015 0.772163 1.938633 4.496334 10.302685